Senator Barack Obama won the Mississippi primary yesterday and has been projected the winner of March 4's Texas caucus. He took 61% of the Mississippi vote and is currently at 56% in the Texas caucus with 41% reporting. Texas holds both a primary, which Senator Hillary Clinton won, and a caucus depending on district or county. Senator John McCain won the Mississippi primary and has increased his delegate count to 1,325.
Democrats (2,025 needed to win)
Barack Obama: 1,611 (207 superdelegates)
Hillary Clinton: 1,480 (237 superdelegates)
There are 931 delegates unawarded or uncommitted; however there are not enough pledged delegates left for either to realistically win enough for clinching the nomination. There are still 359 undecided superdelegates, but the 796 superdelegates can change their mind at any time and can swing the election either way.
My Take
Although neither can clinch victory, Clinton is falling into a deeper hole and will most likely only be able to take the nomination by the superdelegate vote. Buth, this would embitter mainstream Democrats since having the party elite choose the candidate would, effectively, invalidate their vote since Obama has taken the pledged delegates from the states by a wide margin. I believe, in an effort to best preserve party unity, the superdelegates would affirm the party's popular vote, and Obama would win the nomination unless Clinton surges in the remaining primaries and begins to look like a better general election candidate. Incidentally, Clinton has lost a superdelegate through his resignation in the New York Spitzer scandal.
Links
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/state/#val=MS
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/state/#TX
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/scorecard/#D
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